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Red55
957624.2
283028.9
761915.1
Blue73
338113.6
423034.9
17117.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766220401001201405573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.8
27.626.8
Auto12.5
Teleop15.0
End1.4
blue by 6.0
4230
#12
34.91.1
29.230.4
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
Second
9576
#25
24.20.9
23.722.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
red by 6.9
171
#18
17.31.0
14.916.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
7619
#31
15.10.8
16.215.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 1.5
3381
#34
13.61.0
13.514.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed