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Red51
533910.3
220223.8
853113.2
Blue85
665119.2
967618.3
880225.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4662020801001205185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
23.80.2
23.223.4
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End1.4
blue by 1.9
25.80.7
20.821.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
Second
8531
#38
13.20.2
11.011.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 6.0
6651
#36
19.20.7
19.320.0
Auto8.9
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
5339
#47
10.30.2
9.19.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 8.1
9676
#43
18.30.7
14.014.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed