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Red36
87004.6
109114.8
250620.0
Blue67
590324.8
167522.5
616619.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377002060801001201403667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#19
20.00.1
17.817.7
Auto11.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
blue by 4.8
5903
#10
24.80.4
24.424.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Second
1091
#17
14.80.1
12.912.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 7.7
1675
#20
22.50.4
20.821.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Third
8700
#54
4.60.1
6.56.4
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 15.0
19.60.6
14.515.1
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed