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Red53
297718.5
91499.3
250620.0
Blue34
171613.0
338113.6
40214.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563402040801005334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#19
20.00.0
17.717.7
Auto11.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
red by 6.4
3381
#34
13.60.0
15.615.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Second
2977
#37
18.50.0
20.320.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 5.5
1716
#21
13.00.0
11.511.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
9149
#41
9.30.0
10.310.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.7
End-0.1
red by 4.9
4021
#46
4.50.0
6.36.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed