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Red63
52526.9
309013.0
282622.8
Blue52
162525.9
80248.9
87004.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664002060801001201406352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
26.90.4
24.024.4
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
red by 1.0
1625
#22
25.90.7
24.925.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End1.7
Second
22.80.4
21.922.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 13.9
8024
#44
8.90.7
8.18.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Third
3090
#32
13.00.7
11.011.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 8.4
8700
#54
4.60.7
6.47.1
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed