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Red79
401118.3
967618.3
283028.9
Blue68
558617.1
67328.1
308221.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6748204060801001207968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.0
27.128.1
Auto12.5
Teleop15.0
End1.4
red by 7.6
3082
#13
21.30.7
20.220.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End2.2
Second
9676
#43
18.31.0
14.715.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
red by 1.3
5586
#29
17.10.7
12.813.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
Third
4011
#24
18.31.0
16.617.7
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
red by 10.1
6732
#42
8.11.2
12.513.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned