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Red77
423034.9
514815.6
219432.3
Blue91
702132.4
212935.1
109114.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8484607080901001101207791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#12
34.90.4
31.631.3
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
blue by 0.2
35.10.7
34.034.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
Second
32.30.4
30.630.2
Auto11.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
blue by 0.1
32.40.7
28.329.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.7
End4.1
Third
5148
#45
15.60.4
15.214.8
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 0.8
1091
#17
14.80.7
12.813.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsEarned