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Red81
853113.2
171028.1
270422.4
Blue67
17117.3
87827.8
622325.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63572040801008167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.3
25.226.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 2.7
6223
#28
25.40.5
25.125.6
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Second
22.41.3
20.321.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 5.2
171
#18
17.30.5
16.917.4
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
8531
#38
13.21.3
11.212.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 5.4
8782
#50
7.80.8
10.511.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed