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Red60
616619.6
80248.9
250620.0
Blue54
96723.5
297718.5
40546.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495402040801001201406054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#19
20.00.9
17.718.6
Auto11.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
blue by 3.5
967
#27
23.50.4
18.418.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End0.1
Second
19.61.5
18.119.6
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 1.2
2977
#37
18.50.4
20.320.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
8024
#44
8.90.9
8.99.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End2.8
red by 2.5
4054
#51
6.40.6
9.510.2
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed