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Red81
219432.3
880225.8
96723.5
Blue64
967618.3
17117.3
162525.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63502040801001208164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.32.0
27.829.9
Auto11.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
red by 6.3
1625
#22
25.90.9
19.820.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End1.7
Second
25.82.2
11.713.9
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
red by 7.4
9676
#43
18.30.9
13.013.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
Third
967
#27
23.52.2
16.318.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End0.1
red by 6.2
171
#18
17.30.7
14.415.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed