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Red100
130611.5
558617.1
270422.4
Blue12
50195.3
87004.6
40546.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62250408010012014010012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.5
23.123.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 16.1
4054
#51
6.41.6
10.28.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Second
5586
#29
17.10.5
14.815.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
red by 11.7
5019
#52
5.31.6
9.37.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Third
1306
#40
11.50.5
14.114.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.4
red by 6.9
8700
#54
4.61.0
7.86.8
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed