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Red75
341817.0
967618.3
702132.4
Blue79
582613.0
162525.9
957624.2
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69706080907579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.5
30.531.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.7
End4.1
red by 6.4
1625
#22
25.90.5
25.826.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End1.7
Second
9676
#43
18.30.5
16.516.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
blue by 5.8
9576
#25
24.20.5
23.423.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Third
3418
#39
17.00.5
16.116.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 4.0
5826
#16
13.00.5
12.713.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed