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Red56
338113.6
250620.0
220223.8
Blue49
423034.9
853113.2
88037.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655802040801001201405649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
23.80.5
25.024.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End1.4
blue by 11.0
4230
#12
34.90.3
32.632.3
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
Second
2506
#19
20.00.5
18.618.1
Auto11.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
red by 6.8
8531
#38
13.20.3
12.412.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
3381
#34
13.60.5
14.614.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.5
red by 5.8
8803
#53
7.80.3
8.68.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed