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Red51
212935.1
369212.6
67328.1
Blue74
616619.6
17117.3
880225.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63692040801005174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.1
35.734.6
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
red by 9.3
25.80.2
23.523.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
Second
3692
#23
12.61.1
12.111.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 7.0
19.60.3
19.719.9
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
6732
#42
8.11.6
9.78.1
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
blue by 9.1
171
#18
17.30.2
18.118.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed