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Red49
297718.5
125918.9
309013.0
Blue77
401118.3
53718.3
52526.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57633040507080904977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#26
18.91.0
19.718.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 8.0
525
#15
26.90.9
25.926.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Second
2977
#37
18.51.0
19.218.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 0.2
4011
#24
18.30.9
17.118.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Third
3090
#32
13.01.5
13.712.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 5.2
537
#35
18.30.9
13.514.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed