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Red64
880225.8
125918.9
401118.3
Blue18
87004.6
87827.8
582613.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions732404060801001201406418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
23.724.0
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
red by 12.7
5826
#16
13.00.6
13.713.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Second
1259
#26
18.90.2
18.718.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 11.1
8782
#50
7.80.9
8.77.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Third
4011
#24
18.30.2
18.018.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
red by 13.7
8700
#54
4.60.6
5.24.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed