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Red29
270422.4
40214.5
40546.4
Blue71
212935.1
162525.9
338113.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358802060801001201402971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.2
23.922.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
blue by 12.6
35.10.2
34.634.4
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
Second
4054
#51
6.41.7
8.06.4
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 19.6
1625
#22
25.90.2
24.924.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End1.7
Third
4021
#46
4.51.2
5.74.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
blue by 9.1
3381
#34
13.60.2
13.713.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed