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Red72
167522.5
710322.6
270422.4
Blue76
52526.9
283028.9
870116.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74812040601001207276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#30
22.60.1
22.822.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 6.3
28.90.2
29.229.0
Auto12.5
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Second
1675
#20
22.50.1
22.722.8
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 4.4
525
#15
26.90.2
27.227.1
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Third
22.40.1
22.722.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 6.3
8701
#49
16.10.2
16.416.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.2
End1.3