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Red108
171028.1
219432.3
96723.5
Blue75
17117.3
308221.3
616619.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9957015010875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.3
32.532.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
red by 11.0
3082
#13
21.30.3
20.821.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End2.2
Second
28.10.3
28.328.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 8.4
19.60.4
19.019.4
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
967
#27
23.50.3
23.724.0
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End0.1
red by 6.2
171
#18
17.30.3
16.817.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1