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Red42
465519.5
514812.5
171424.5
Blue74
319723.3
870118.6
999012.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6545020801001201404274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.2
23.422.1
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
red by 1.2
3197
#11
23.30.8
21.322.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Second
4655
#19
19.51.2
18.116.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 0.9
8701
#17
18.60.8
16.217.0
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Third
5148
#25
12.51.2
15.113.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 0.1
12.71.4
9.310.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed