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Red42
219430.0
167516.0
99934.7
Blue55
999113.2
874424.2
888014.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001204255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#10
30.01.5
32.330.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
red by 5.8
8744
#13
24.20.9
24.525.3
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Second
1675
#28
16.01.5
21.720.2
Auto9.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.0
red by 1.7
8880
#21
14.30.9
11.712.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Third
9993
#31
4.72.4
2.90.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.4
blue by 8.5
9991
#15
13.21.4
5.97.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed