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Red60
179219.3
642124.7
66439.9
Blue28
109113.5
99928.2
638119.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454001001502002503003506028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#14
24.71.4
19.721.1
Auto12.2
Teleop11.9
End0.6
red by 5.2
6381
#18
19.51.0
21.620.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Second
19.31.4
15.216.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 5.8
1091
#22
13.51.0
13.512.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Third
6643
#12
9.91.4
4.65.9
Auto6.7
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
red by 1.7
9992
#27
8.21.7
3.41.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed