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Red81
93033.0
702134.4
109113.5
Blue41
9327.8
999012.7
125917.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894701001508141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.4
35.035.4
Auto14.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
red by 6.6
93
#4
27.81.4
24.422.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
Second
930
#9
33.00.4
27.728.1
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End1.0
red by 15.7
1259
#16
17.31.4
15.113.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
1091
#22
13.50.4
12.713.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 0.9
12.72.4
11.18.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsEarned