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Red41
35967.3
888014.3
219430.0
Blue79
999113.2
173233.9
465519.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545901001502002504179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#10
30.00.9
29.628.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 3.9
33.90.7
29.430.1
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End5.7
Second
8880
#21
14.30.9
13.012.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 5.3
4655
#19
19.50.7
17.217.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
3596
#30
7.30.9
6.25.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.1
blue by 6.0
9991
#15
13.21.2
6.37.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned