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Red45
514812.5
109113.5
888014.3
Blue108
173233.9
319723.3
250621.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42870206010012014016045108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
#21
14.30.0
13.213.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 19.6
33.91.0
32.333.4
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End5.7
Second
1091
#22
13.50.0
14.814.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 9.8
3197
#11
23.31.0
21.422.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Third
5148
#25
12.50.0
15.615.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 8.5
21.01.0
20.021.0
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned