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Red61
638119.5
702134.4
179219.3
Blue55
465519.5
93033.0
35967.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94660501506155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.5
40.939.3
Auto14.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
red by 1.4
930
#9
33.00.5
31.631.1
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End1.0
Second
6381
#18
19.51.5
22.521.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 0.1
4655
#19
19.50.5
21.420.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
19.31.5
18.316.8
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 12.1
3596
#30
7.30.6
9.89.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed