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Red33
319723.3
999711.2
99928.2
Blue76
125917.3
219430.0
702134.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32940501503376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#11
23.30.6
23.122.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
blue by 11.0
34.40.0
33.833.8
Auto14.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Second
9997
#24
11.21.0
14.613.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 18.8
2194
#10
30.00.0
29.729.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Third
9992
#27
8.21.0
4.73.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 9.1
1259
#16
17.30.0
13.213.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned