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Red73
465519.5
638119.5
9327.8
Blue57
874424.2
220213.0
171424.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080907357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#4
27.80.8
25.025.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
red by 3.2
24.51.0
23.122.1
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Second
4655
#19
19.50.8
18.619.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 4.7
8744
#13
24.21.0
24.723.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Third
6381
#18
19.50.8
17.918.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
red by 6.5
2202
#29
13.01.0
14.613.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned