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Red72
125917.3
171424.5
870118.6
Blue80
179219.3
888014.3
250621.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615601001502007280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.3
22.123.3
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
red by 3.5
21.01.3
19.721.0
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
8701
#17
18.61.3
16.217.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End0.4
blue by 0.7
19.31.3
18.319.6
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
1259
#16
17.31.3
14.916.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 3.1
8880
#21
14.31.3
13.014.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned