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Red59
220213.0
179219.3
702134.4
Blue77
465519.5
219430.0
99928.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785501001502005977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.3
34.634.3
Auto14.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
red by 4.3
2194
#10
30.00.4
28.929.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Second
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 0.2
4655
#19
19.50.4
18.418.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
2202
#29
13.00.3
13.212.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End1.2
red by 4.8
9992
#27
8.20.4
6.87.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5