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Red67
99928.2
219430.0
465519.5
Blue122
173233.9
999113.2
93033.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5690010015020067122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#10
30.00.2
29.529.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 3.9
33.90.5
33.433.9
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End5.7
Second
4655
#19
19.50.2
19.019.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 13.5
930
#9
33.00.5
32.533.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.0
End1.0
Third
9992
#27
8.20.3
7.67.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 5.0
9991
#15
13.20.6
12.613.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End1.1