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Red80
638119.5
250621.0
657419.6
Blue66
179219.3
702134.4
220213.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65760501001502002508066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.0
20.920.9
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 13.3
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto14.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Second
6574
#23
19.60.0
19.519.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End1.8
red by 0.3
19.30.0
19.419.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
6381
#18
19.50.0
19.319.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
red by 6.5
2202
#29
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End1.2