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Red45
9327.8
319723.3
66439.9
Blue81
171424.5
870118.6
125917.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70664060801001204581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#4
27.80.4
28.127.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
red by 3.2
24.50.3
24.124.3
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Second
3197
#11
23.30.4
23.723.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
red by 4.7
8701
#17
18.60.3
18.218.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Third
6643
#12
9.90.4
10.39.9
Auto6.7
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
blue by 7.4
1259
#16
17.30.3
16.917.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.3