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Red79
125917.3
870118.6
171424.5
Blue70
642124.7
35967.3
999012.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694302060801001201401607970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
23.824.1
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 0.2
6421
#14
24.70.1
24.624.7
Auto12.2
Teleop11.9
End0.6
Second
8701
#17
18.60.3
17.918.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End0.4
red by 6.0
12.70.2
12.512.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Third
1259
#16
17.30.3
16.616.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 10.1
3596
#30
7.30.1
7.27.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.1