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Red69
99928.2
219430.0
465519.5
Blue64
66439.9
319723.3
9327.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587101001506964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#10
30.00.3
29.229.5
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
red by 2.3
93
#4
27.80.0
28.128.1
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
Second
4655
#19
19.50.3
18.719.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 3.8
3197
#11
23.30.0
23.623.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Third
9992
#27
8.20.4
7.27.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 1.7
6643
#12
9.90.0
10.310.3
Auto6.7
Teleop3.4
End-0.1