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Red68
220218.7
171429.3
36927.4
Blue29
884711.1
97608.0
870112.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603402040801001206829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.7
24.224.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 16.4
8701
#41
12.90.6
12.311.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Second
2202
#25
18.70.8
16.116.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 7.6
8847
#32
11.10.6
12.612.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Third
3692
#46
7.40.8
10.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 0.6
9760
#38
8.00.6
8.08.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed