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Red69
338111.5
173231.0
638122.5
Blue46
94259.8
453120.0
20778.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71270204060801001206946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.0
27.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
red by 11.1
4531
#27
20.01.6
11.313.0
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Second
22.50.9
20.821.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End2.0
red by 12.6
9425
#39
9.80.9
9.810.8
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Third
3381
#10
11.51.2
10.811.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 3.0
2077
#52
8.51.6
9.010.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed