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Red59
558612.1
682311.1
874425.4
Blue31
167518.4
53712.0
66435.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413310203050605931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
25.43.0
13.316.3
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 6.9
1675
#28
18.40.6
12.111.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Second
5586
#37
12.13.0
13.116.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.6
red by 0.1
537
#47
12.00.6
13.913.3
Auto1.6
Teleop9.4
End1.0
Third
11.11.8
6.07.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End0.8
red by 5.9
6643
#49
5.10.6
8.78.1
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed