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Red40
10918.6
283022.4
93024.0
Blue53
266715.8
710318.4
853110.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643253035405055604053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#7
24.00.1
16.816.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End1.1
red by 5.6
7103
#26
18.41.3
14.315.6
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Second
2830
#24
22.40.2
14.013.9
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 6.6
2667
#31
15.81.3
11.512.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Third
1091
#23
8.60.2
10.610.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 2.3
8531
#43
10.91.3
13.614.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed