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Red48
657413.6
179216.5
967613.0
Blue24
478618.8
46457.4
222012.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41562060801004824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#30
16.50.5
19.719.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
blue by 2.4
4786
#15
18.82.2
23.521.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Second
6574
#16
13.60.5
10.09.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
red by 1.6
2220
#48
12.02.7
13.110.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
9676
#29
13.09.8
18.38.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 5.6
4645
#54
7.42.7
11.99.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed