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Red37
46457.4
179216.5
884711.1
Blue39
453120.0
870112.9
682311.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46340204060803739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#30
16.50.3
19.219.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
blue by 3.5
4531
#27
20.00.7
13.013.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Second
8847
#32
11.10.4
12.011.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 1.8
8701
#41
12.90.7
11.812.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Third
4645
#54
7.40.4
9.18.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 3.7
11.10.4
7.88.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed