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Red55
53712.0
173231.0
558612.1
Blue96
266715.8
283022.4
171429.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64564050607080905596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.2
28.027.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
red by 1.7
29.33.1
24.927.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
5586
#37
12.10.3
16.015.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 10.3
2830
#24
22.43.8
13.917.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
537
#47
12.00.3
13.313.0
Auto1.6
Teleop9.4
End1.0
blue by 3.8
2667
#31
15.83.8
12.816.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned