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Red58
130612.4
235810.5
178126.7
Blue28
35969.8
880211.7
50962.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563102040801005828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
26.70.7
24.224.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 15.0
8802
#50
11.72.0
11.69.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Second
1306
#33
12.41.2
11.312.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.7
red by 2.6
3596
#40
9.82.0
10.08.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
2358
#44
10.51.2
12.013.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
red by 7.8
5096
#51
2.82.0
9.37.4
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed