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Red47
622323.5
220218.7
235810.5
Blue42
178126.7
790012.5
338111.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801004742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.4
11.411.8
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
blue by 3.2
1781
#14
26.70.2
24.924.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Second
2202
#25
18.70.4
16.917.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 6.2
7900
#35
12.50.4
8.88.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
2358
#44
10.50.4
13.213.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 1.0
3381
#10
11.50.4
11.911.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed