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Red60
319721.4
373414.2
657413.6
Blue39
130612.4
10918.6
206221.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44502030406070806039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#18
21.41.2
20.521.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 0.1
2062
#19
21.30.6
21.520.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Second
3734
#20
14.21.7
10.211.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
red by 1.8
1306
#33
12.40.8
12.511.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
6574
#16
13.61.2
9.410.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
red by 5.0
1091
#23
8.60.8
10.59.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed