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Red78
389115.6
363024.8
35969.8
Blue48
809616.9
642121.3
880211.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365202060801007848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.83.7
18.822.4
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
red by 3.5
6421
#12
21.30.2
22.522.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Second
3891
#22
15.63.7
8.111.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End1.1
blue by 1.3
8096
#34
16.90.2
13.513.3
Auto9.8
Teleop4.9
End2.2
Third
3596
#40
9.83.7
8.011.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 1.9
8802
#50
11.70.3
9.69.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed