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Red29
558612.1
884711.1
853110.9
Blue83
710318.4
173231.0
179216.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427402060801001202983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#37
12.11.4
15.814.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 18.9
31.01.2
27.829.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
Second
8847
#32
11.11.4
11.610.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 7.3
7103
#26
18.41.7
16.017.7
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
8531
#43
10.91.4
14.412.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 5.6
1792
#30
16.51.0
19.020.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed