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Red25
97608.0
47878.5
20778.5
Blue47
222012.0
266715.8
870112.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25460204060801002547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4787
#53
8.51.7
5.74.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.0
End1.9
blue by 7.3
2667
#31
15.80.6
16.717.3
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Second
2077
#52
8.51.7
11.29.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End2.6
blue by 4.4
8701
#41
12.90.6
12.513.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Third
9760
#38
8.01.7
8.16.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End0.2
blue by 4.0
2220
#48
12.00.6
10.310.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed