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Red66
94259.8
178126.7
125916.6
Blue25
46457.4
790012.5
53712.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553002040801001206625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
26.71.3
24.625.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 14.2
7900
#35
12.50.6
8.47.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Second
1259
#17
16.62.1
11.413.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 4.6
537
#47
12.00.6
13.012.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.4
End1.0
Third
9425
#39
9.82.1
10.712.8
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
red by 2.4
4645
#54
7.40.6
8.88.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed