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Red58
642121.3
478618.8
338111.5
Blue53
874425.4
66435.1
130612.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6436020801005853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#12
21.31.3
22.321.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 4.0
8744
#11
25.41.9
16.718.6
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
4786
#15
18.81.2
21.019.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 6.4
1306
#33
12.41.9
11.613.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Third
3381
#10
11.51.8
11.59.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 6.4
6643
#49
5.11.9
7.69.5
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed